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Greenway new toll rate - July 2010

Discussion in 'General Chat Forum' started by bluepansee, Jul 27, 2010.

  1. Mr. Linux

    Mr. Linux Senior Member & Moderator Forum Staff

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    True, but an HOA doesn't 'vote' - those "onesy-twosy" do ;)
     
  2. Ken

    Ken Member

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    True, true, Mr. Linux.

    I read Wolf's letters to the Greenway owners on his site and I can kinda see why nothing's been done. They're more of "My constituents are angry, you must do something!" instead of "My constituents are angry and if you don't do something, these are the consequences."

    Right now I'm guessing Macquarie Atlas Roads doesn't really care what Wolf or anyone else says as long as people are taking the road and paying the tolls.
     
  3. flynnibus

    flynnibus Well-Known Member Forum Staff

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    Why does anyone believe Distance Based Tolls would save you money?

    If the company is able to say 'we need $50 million dollars a year' as justification to collect that much in tolls, they would raise tolls to offset the differences in collections to be able to get back to the $50 million.

    Lets say for simplicity.. all tolls collected today were the same. If 50% of their tolls collected came from partial distance riders.. and those people only paid half of what they do today. That would mean a reduction in 25% of revenue. The company gets their toll raises justified not based on what they charge, but what they expect to get out of the road in revenues. If you cut 25% of their revenue, they'll argue toll raises are justified to get their revenues back to the 50 million number they 'need'.

    A distance based toll system would just be a free pass to raise today's rates even higher. The company justifies their toll rates to the state based on revenue and the company's profits (or not) - not based on what people can or should pay. The law is setup to prevent fleecing profits, not 'tolerable tolls'.


    Distance based tolls would mean you would not pay the same as the guy coming in at Leesburg.. yes.. but that wouldn't mean you'd pay 50% of what you pay today or likely anything close to that.

    The higher the percentage of riders that come on from partial distance, the higher the rates need to be to offset potential lost revenue.
     
  4. GeauxTigers

    GeauxTigers Member

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    You also can't ignore that if they were to convert to a distance sensitive scheme, they would need to add several toll booths including a massive terminal booth on the Leesburg end plus ongoing costs of whatever jobs these added booths may create. I can't imagine the added infrastructure would be cheap and that clearly would be a justification for increased rates.
     
  5. flynnibus

    flynnibus Well-Known Member Forum Staff

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    Even if it cost them NOTHING to implement - they would have justification to ask for higher tolls.

    Their case for the toll rates is based on their company operating profitably within reason. If you take away their revenue source by reducing how many pay the full toll, they will have reason to raise the full toll to offset the lost revenue.
     
  6. PDILLM

    PDILLM Well-Known Member

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    This truly is something that cannot be addressed and will not be resolved in the users of the Greenway's favor...ever......never......

    Why? If higher ups (Congressmen, etc.) say this is bad, how can construction of hot lanes on 495 continue? The hot lanes have a payment scale that rises with usage, where they could argue that the Greenway's is consistant and fair (fair being all pay the same price). If Wolf states the Greenway is unfair and is a burden, then we should see his calling for an evaluation of the hot lanes........

    Once everything is done, the Greenway will be found to be operating in a free market economy where their price point is what the market can support. If enough people stop driving on it the rate will drop. If people keep driving on it then obviously the price point is sufficient since demand remains constant.
     
  7. flynnibus

    flynnibus Well-Known Member Forum Staff

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    But that's the problem - it's not designed to run in a free market. It's designed to run at a marginal profit for the company to run. The allowed tolls are always going to be graced to be high enough for the company to reach for that target.

    The problem is an environment where due to fancy debt structuring, accounting, and other practices where something that can be advertised as expenses and losses... aren't really that to the people behind the curtain.

    So tolls can be allowed to increase to cover 'losses' that aren't really losses.

    The upper bound is not what the market will bear.. its what the company can obscure and still have enough people to pay and be worth it.

    It's intention is not to be 'what the market will bear' that's why the tolls are pegged to the company's health - not the market factors.
     
  8. PDILLM

    PDILLM Well-Known Member

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    But that is exactly what a free market is. The toll owners can set the price to whatever they want and customers can either use or not use their product! My price point to not use the product was at $3.00. Others feel the pain, but since they are still using the Greenway their price point to not use the Greenway is higher than what they are charging.

    I agree with everything you are saying about the compan's health, etc., but that is much higher level then the basic economics and market price I referenced. The internal financials are irrelevant in basic economics. Supply and demand. At what point does the cost not equal a perceived benefit. It is at that point the product is not valued enough and not purchased.
     
  9. flynnibus

    flynnibus Well-Known Member Forum Staff

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    Supply and Demand doesn't really apply in a monopoly :)

    The law is setup to prevent 'fleecing' where the Toll operator could keep raising prices as much as the market will bear by keeping tolls limited to where the company is only allowed to make a small profit.

    That's the good intention of the law. It's to prevent a true free market by capping what the operator can make off the citizens.

    However the law fails to 'go under the hood' in terms of how the company is setup and operated so the cap can be manipulated by presenting the company as not profitable.

    The 'supply' is artificially limited as well because the state basically refuses to compete with the Greenway.

    If a like limited access freeway existed that served the same corridor that the Greenway does... I doubt many people would pay $4+ to go 65mph instead of 50-55mph and have slightly more traffic.

    The flaws in how the state set all this up is that they used the Greenway INSTEAD of doing their own roads and they didn't setup the relationship tight enough to really control how the road is operated.

    Of course to call it 'flawed' is a little skewed because the plan was always to do it 'instead' of public road funding.. but I think what it's 'sold as' to the public is quite different.

    I'm all for setting up a Delaware type tollbooth at the state line for all those people who want to live in WV but work here :)
     
  10. gunzour

    gunzour "Living on the Edge"

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    I think this is the real solution we should be pushing for -- to get more east-west routes (that are already on the county transportation plan) actually *built*, making it easier for commuters to not use the Greenway. Then it won't matter if they charge $5 or $50, because people won't be using it.

    It really doesn't need to be a freeway -- just roads that make it easy for us to get to 28 and the Dulles Toll Road.
     
  11. PDILLM

    PDILLM Well-Known Member

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    I think the real answer is flynnibus and I NEVER agree on anything! :happygrin:

    Fortunately, I don't have a dog in this fight since I take Rt7 to work. I'm taking the money I save on the Greenway and put it towards Openband......
     
  12. flynnibus

    flynnibus Well-Known Member Forum Staff

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    hehe :)

    Telecommute :)

    I rode rt7 home the other day from Tysons... man that was a mistake.
     
  13. jim

    jim New Member

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    I agree with all you have said in this and the other notes before and after. Certainly Macquarie has set up a clever scheme for off-shoring their profits via their financing structure and enabling the argument that the local entity needs a toll increase to achieve the return on investment allowed under the law. The Commonwealth was either naive or worse when this was setup.

    Distance based tolls (DBT) would certainly mean a restructuring of the toll rate so that the Leesburg user would pay more to offset the losses from the lower tolls for the shorter haul users.

    One of the three tests that the Greenway has to pass in order to justify a toll increase is that the proposed toll is economically neutral versus the cost of the alternative route. In their past petitions they have used a route from Leesburg as the basis as it is the lowest cost per mile of toll road use. In the case of DBT, the high toll from Leesburg will make it harder to justify the economic neutrality versus the alternate route. If they are unable to make the economic justification, they would be unable to justify the higher toll. The house of cards would start falling down. In the last two rounds of toll increases the hearing examiner recommended to the State Commerce Commission that a study be done on the cost of DBT implementation. Each time the SCC has ruled against the recommendation for a study (just a study!) and approved the increase requested. Perhaps there is a linkage and political pressure was applied to keep the house of cards standing.

    -Jim
     
  14. redon1

    redon1 aka Aphioni

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    here's the deal people.

    there's a double secret agreement that makes such a clustermuck out of waxpool, that greedway traffic is driven through the roof, and someone's pockets are lined with %age the uptick in greedway traffic, and with that, they will purchase Osama's old place, and put a restaurant where blue bros used to be.

    i got it aaaaall figured out. ;)
     
  15. flynnibus

    flynnibus Well-Known Member Forum Staff

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    great points jim.

    I don't recall if it was intended to be 'cost' neutral but I recall the comparisons you mention and the hypothesis is an interesting one.
     

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